2007 Football Schedule Analysis Part I: Intro
I've decided to write a quick series of posts on the 2007 football schedule for U.Va..
Before I get too far into this, I have to mention that I'm no football analyst. I'm no guru either. I'm just a fan who happens to spend too much of his time thinking about football. Much of the analysis and many of the predictions that come from that analysis will have a lot of "gut feeling" mixed in with actual facts. I'm not ashamed of that. I can't see into the future so sometimes, when things are more or less even, you've gotta use something to differentiate between two teams.
So to get things rolling, I'll just start off by saying that we have a schedule this year with 12 winnable games. There's not a single game on the schedule that I think we are guaranteed to lose. The two games that come closest to that are November 10th @ Miami and November 24th versus Virginia Tech - the two games that happen to close out our season. At first glance, those do look like losses. We'll see what I have to say about that when I get to the real analysis.
Now, on the other side of the same coin, we also have 12 losable games on the schedule. There are at least two that I want to chalk up as wins without much thought (September 8th versus Duke and October 6th @ Middle Tennessee State). I hope those are wins... but like the Miami and VT games, we'll see what I have to say when we get to the real analysis.
The other 8 games that I haven't mentioned? Who knows! Seriously, the rest of the games could go either way. With so many games that look like 50/50, perhaps it would be best to just pick a 6-6 record as my prediction. That seems pretty safe.
But that would be ignoring my gut feeling about this season. When I throw my gut feeling into the mix, my prediction is a 9-3 season.
Stay tuned to find out how I came up with that prediction.